India becomes world's 4th largest economy, eyes Global top 3 spot

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May 26, 2025
India has overtaken Japan to become the world’s 4th-largest economy, with a GDP of $4.187 trillion, according to IMF data. Driven by strong reforms, booming markets, and rising exports, India is set to surpass Germany by 2028 to rank third globally. With over 6% growth forecast through 2026, India remains the fastest-growing major economy.
Photo by Gayatri Malhotra on Unsplash

In a major milestone for the Indian economy, India has officially overtaken Japan to become the fourth-largest economy in the world, according to the latest data from the International Monetary Fund (IMF). With a GDP of $4.187 trillion, India is now trailing only the United States, China, and Germany.

The announcement was made by NITI Aayog CEO B.V.R. Subrahmanyam during a press briefing following the 10th Governing Council Meeting of NITI Aayog in New Delhi. "We are the fourth-largest economy as I speak. We are a USD 4 trillion economy," he stated, citing IMF data.

India’s economic rise: Key highlights

Source: IMF, World Economic Outlook, April 2025

  • GDP Growth: India's GDP has surged from $2.1 trillion in 2015 to $4.187 trillion in 2025, more than doubling in just a decade.
  • Fastest-Growing Major Economy: The IMF projects India will remain the fastest-growing major economy in the world over the next few years.
  • Future Projections: India is on track to overtake Germany by 2028, becoming the world’s third-largest economy with a projected GDP of $5.5 trillion.
  • Global Rankings (2025):
    • 1st – United States: $30.5 trillion
    • 2nd – China: $19.231 trillion
    • 3rd – Germany: $ 4.744 trillion
    • 4th – India: $ 4.187 trillion
    • 5th – Japan $ 4.186 trillion

India's economic transformation since 2015

The Indian economy has undergone significant transformation in the past decade. India's economic surge is due the wide-ranging and deep-rooted transformation across multiple sectors. From thriving stock markets and a revitalized manufacturing base to historic export highs and rapid expansion in the defence industry, the country is experiencing multidimensional progress.

Source: IMF, World Economic Outlook, April 2025

This sustained momentum is driven by a combination of strategic policy reforms, resilient domestic consumption, and increasing global investor confidence in India’s long-term economic path. Together, these elements are shaping India into a formidable force on the world economic stage.

In its World Economic Outlook report, the IMF confirmed that India is the only major economy expected to clock over 6% growth in the next two years. This positions India as a global economic powerhouse amid a slowing global economy.

Germany, currently the third-largest economy, is facing stagnation. The IMF has projected zero growth for Germany in 2025 and only 0.9% growth in 2026, making it vulnerable amid ongoing global trade tensions. This slowdown could accelerate India’s rise to the third spot.

"If we stick to what is being planned and what is being thought through, in 2.5 to 3 years, we will be the third-largest economy," said Subrahmanyam, signaling confidence in India's economic trajectory.