Seven months before the North Rhine-Westphalia state election, the governing CDU of Minister-President Hendrik Wüst remains ahead of all other parties despite losing support, according to a new poll. The survey, conducted by the Forsa institute for the Kölner Stadt-Anzeiger and published on Wednesday, puts the Christian Democrats at 29 percent. Compared with a previous Forsa poll conducted in April, the CDU has lost three percentage points.
The AfD remains in second place with 22 percent, gaining two percentage points compared with the previous survey. The governing Greens rank third with 18 percent, up one percentage point. They are followed by the SPD, which remains unchanged at 14 percent. The Left Party ranks fifth at 8 percent, gaining two percentage points and crossing the threshold required to enter the state parliament in Düsseldorf. The FDP, meanwhile, remains at 3 percent and would therefore leave the state parliament.
Based on the poll, the current coalition between the CDU and Greens would continue to have a majority. Other two-party coalitions that exclude the AfD would not be possible. The survey was conducted from September 7 through Friday among 1,030 eligible voters in North Rhine-Westphalia. The next North Rhine-Westphalia state election is scheduled for April 25, 2027.
In the 2022 North Rhine-Westphalia state election, the CDU won with 35.7 percent of the vote, ahead of the SPD, which received 26.7 percent. The Greens secured 18.2 percent. The FDP also entered the state parliament with 5.9 percent, while the AfD received 5.4 percent.
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