Exports Grow but Germany Loses Ground in US and China

Newsworm
Newsworm
with
AFP
August 20, 2026
German exports grew in the first half of the year, but trade with the country's two biggest partners is causing concern. Shipments to the United States and China both fell sharply, cushioned only by stronger demand from other EU countries. At the same time, imports from China surged, worsening Germany's overall foreign trade balance.
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Exports Grow but Germany Loses Ground in US and China
German exports rose in the first half of the year, but the development of trade with the major trading partners, the USA and China, is a cause for concern: Deliveries to both countries fell significantly. - AFP

German exports rose in the first half of the year, but the trend in trade with the heavyweights the United States and China is causing concern: deliveries to both countries dropped sharply. This was offset by significant increases in shipments to other EU countries, the Federal Statistical Office in Wiesbaden reported on Thursday. Imports, particularly from China, rose markedly, and Germany's foreign trade balance consequently deteriorated.

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Transatlantic business under pressure

In total, Germany exported goods worth 817.8 billion euros in the first half of the year, 3.9 percent more than in the same period a year earlier. The most important buyer remained the United States. However, US exports of 73.1 billion euros represent a decline of 6.1 percent. The tariffs imposed by US President Donald Trump are clearly making themselves felt here. Car exports to the United States fell steeply, by 17.2 percent.

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Neighbouring markets take up the slack

Deliveries by German companies to France, by contrast, came to 63.2 billion euros, 7.6 percent more than in the same period last year. Exports to the Netherlands also rose strongly, by nine percent to 60.5 billion euros. China slipped further down the ranking of the most important buyers of German products. Exports to the People's Republic fell by 12.2 percent to 36.4 billion euros.

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The other side of the ledger

At the same time, imports from China continued to climb steeply, up 8.8 percent to 89.1 billion euros. Imports from the United States also rose significantly, by seven percent to 50.6 billion euros. Trade with the US therefore continues to show a substantial export surplus, while trade with China is becoming ever more unbalanced to Germany's disadvantage.

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Squeezed between two industrial strategies

The figures showed "how strongly the German economy is coming under pressure from the geoeconomic shifts," said Sebastian Dullien, scientific director of the Macroeconomic Policy Institute at the Hans Böckler Foundation. Both China and the United States, he said, were attempting "with aggressive trade and industrial policy to support their own industry and push foreign suppliers out of their market."

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The forecast for future demand

Looking ahead, Europe will be "the only relevant source of export growth," the economist forecasts. "Countries such as India or Brazil are too small on a global scale to make up for the loss of market share in the US and China." Germany therefore needs a strong EU single market and "an assertive industrial policy that prevents future industries in Europe from being pushed out of the market by subsidised Chinese competition."

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A look at the product mix

According to the statistics office, cars and car parts remained Germany's most important export goods despite a decline of 5.8 percent. Machinery came second, with a slight decrease. There was a clear increase of 9.5 percent in data processing equipment and electrical and optical products. The chemicals industry also exported more.

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