Just one week before the Berlin House of Representatives election, polls continue to show a close race between the Left and the CDU for victory. In a survey by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen for ZDF, published in Mainz on Friday, the opposition Left, led by top candidate Elif Eralp, received 23 percent. The governing CDU, led by top candidate Stefan Evers, received 21 percent.
The AfD followed in third place with 17 percent, ahead of the Greens with 16 percent and the governing coalition partner SPD with ten percent. The BSW would fail to enter the state parliament with three percent, as would the FDP, whose result was not reported separately. More than 1,000 eligible voters in Berlin were surveyed from Monday to Thursday. Twenty-eight percent were still undecided.
On Thursday, a survey by Infratest dimap for ARD showed a similar picture. Here, the Left was at 21 percent, ahead of the CDU at 20 percent. They were followed by the AfD at 18 percent, the Greens at 16 percent and the SPD at 12 percent. The BSW also fell below the five-percent threshold here, at four percent. The FDP was likewise not reported separately.
The ARD survey was conducted from Monday to Wednesday. Compared with an Infratest dimap poll published the previous week, the Left gained two percentage points, while the CDU lost one point. The AfD and BSW remained unchanged. The Greens lost two points, while the SPD fell by one point compared with the previous week.
Berlin will vote next Sunday, at the same time as a state election is held in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania. The capital is currently governed by a coalition of the CDU and SPD under Governing Mayor Kai Wegner (CDU). He withdrew as the party’s top candidate following criticism of his crisis communication after a power outage.
According to both polls, the current CDU-SPD coalition would no longer have a majority. Politically and mathematically, only three-party coalitions between the Left, Greens and SPD, or between the CDU, Greens and SPD, would be possible.
According to ZDF, 25 percent want CDU candidate Evers to become the next Governing Mayor. Twenty-three percent support Left candidate Eralp. Thirty-seven percent view a red-green-red coalition as a good option, while 22 percent favor a black-green-red coalition. According to the ARD survey, 42 percent each want a CDU-led Senate or a government led by the Left. Twenty percent are very satisfied or satisfied with Eralp’s work, while 18 percent express the same level of satisfaction with Evers.
In the 2023 House of Representatives election, the CDU received 28.2 percent, the SPD 18.4 percent, the Greens 18.4 percent, the Left 12.2 percent and the AfD 9.1 percent. The FDP failed to enter parliament with 4.6 percent. The BSW did not run in the election at the time.
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